Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.377863 0.413006 0.450484 0.493514 0.541660 0.593996 0.655353
2025-12-21 0.310125 0.357409 0.411211 0.477320 0.556855 0.650075 0.768509
2025-12-28 0.281230 0.336060 0.401304 0.485404 0.592010 0.724095 0.902414
2026-01-04 0.259544 0.319161 0.392676 0.491184 0.621542 0.790745 1.031350
2026-01-11 0.241415 0.304078 0.383710 0.494006 0.645499 0.850340 1.155466
2026-01-18 0.226098 0.290792 0.375196 0.495574 0.666518 0.906387 1.279306
2026-01-25 0.214146 0.280683 0.369599 0.499877 0.690705 0.967994 1.417087
2026-02-01 0.199139 0.265150 0.355145 0.490031 0.692886 0.996628 1.506405
2026-02-08 0.189842 0.256752 0.349814 0.492516 0.712944 1.053314 1.646093
2026-02-15 0.179774 0.246510 0.340986 0.488837 0.722784 1.094274 1.763656
2026-02-22 0.172317 0.239488 0.336242 0.490734 0.741117 1.150036 1.912810
2026-03-01 0.163494 0.229895 0.326993 0.484790 0.745993 1.183391 2.025125
2026-03-08 0.155236 0.220794 0.318091 0.478989 0.750994 1.218067 2.145806
2026-03-15 0.145273 0.208604 0.303769 0.463464 0.738290 1.220432 2.204590
2026-03-22 0.141563 0.205750 0.303731 0.471260 0.766260 1.298390 2.424154
2026-03-29 0.137632 0.202303 0.302490 0.476836 0.790590 1.371811 2.644795
2026-04-05 0.133380 0.198103 0.299748 0.479557 0.809815 1.437203 2.857645
2026-04-12 0.129181 0.193757 0.296485 0.481070 0.826779 1.499661 3.073199
2026-04-19 0.125774 0.190504 0.294817 0.485219 0.848956 1.574724 3.329696
2026-04-26 0.120044 0.183179 0.285923 0.475724 0.843859 1.592631 3.451143
2026-05-03 0.116825 0.179851 0.283628 0.478120 0.862339 1.662281 3.712567
2026-05-10 0.112766 0.174933 0.278338 0.474572 0.868494 1.705653 3.913433
2026-05-17 0.109855 0.171815 0.276002 0.476402 0.885734 1.775348 4.196434